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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
4 days ago5 min read
Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 55 min read
Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 174 min read
Week ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!
It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20237 min read
The great reveal: 1H2023 update
This article is an update to an article I penned in February regarding my personal portfolio. For me, it's painful reading!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 7, 20228 min read
2022 so far: not a year to remember for investors!
2022 has been an abysmal year for most indices and asset classes globally, with the exceptions being oil, gold and the FTSE 100. Now what?
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