tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 243 min readWeek ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reductionA confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 174 min readWeek ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 311 min readWeek ended Aug 2, 2024 (and emails during week to subs)Last week was brilliant for UST investors in duration, and horrible for investors in global equities. Culprits: Mag & and US economic data.
tim@emorningcoffee.comJul 275 min readWeek ended July 26, 2024: mixed week, earnings and dataMarkets mixed, with FTSE 100 leading the charge and Nikkei 225 getting hammered. Tech bellwethers set tone, economic data mixed.
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 45 min readWeek ended May 3, 2024Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.
tim@emorningcoffee.comAug 2, 20234 min readWrong (so far)....but the Street has been, tooSeven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
tim@emorningcoffee.comJan 5, 20233 min readMy 2023 year-end guesses The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 31, 20223 min readWEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 25, 20229 min readFOREXFOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.