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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 24, 20243 min read

Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction

A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 17, 20244 min read

It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 3, 202411 min read

Last week was brilliant for UST investors in duration, and horrible for investors in global equities. Culprits: Mag & and US economic data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 27, 20245 min read

Markets mixed, with FTSE 100 leading the charge and Nikkei 225 getting hammered. Tech bellwethers set tone, economic data mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

May 4, 20245 min read

Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 2, 20234 min read

Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 5, 20233 min read

The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 31, 20223 min read

It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

May 25, 20229 min read

FOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.

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