tim@emorningcoffee.com
Week ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!
It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 256 min read
US deficits / debt soar; should you care?
US deficits are soaring, along with US debt to finance the "exceptional growth" of the US. Can this continue?
700
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??
570
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 30, 20237 min read
Week ended Sept 29, 2023 (end of 3Q)
Dismal end to a dismal quarter, with stocks down and bonds getting hammered. US govt shutdown, US housing market and UST market worries.
480
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...
420
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
930
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 29, 20234 min read
Week ended July 28, 2023: Looking good!
Bonds were battered again, but not global equities which took off like rockets. Earnings good, economic data good, etc – what's not to like
400
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
2260
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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