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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 125 min read
Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 55 min read
Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 86 min read
Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise
Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 208 min read
Week ended April 19, 2024: not a good week!
It was another challenging week for both stocks and bonds, with the sell-off in equities gaining steam as tech stocks flounder.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 175 min read
Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 204 min read
Week ended Jan 19, 2024: S&P 500 closes at record high
The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20237 min read
Deficits spiral, Congress disappoints
The decision-making ability of Congress is poor and getting worse, just as US deficits spiral higher and higher. Something needs to be done
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
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