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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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"Worst economy ever"? Not even close!
Inspired by Mr Trump's false claims that he inherited the "worst economy ever", this article looks at administrations' economic performance.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 266 min read
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Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
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Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20247 min read
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Week ended Nov 1, 2024: UK autumn budget, earnings, economic data
UK autumn budget, earnings galore (including five "Mag 7" companies), and gobs of economic data...just as we lead into the US election!!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 2, 20247 min read
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Week ended Sept 6, 2024: sentiment deteriorates
US Labor Day holiday marked the unofficial end of summer, and also a demarcation for risk sentiment. Bonds rallied and stocks got hammered.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20246 min read
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Week ended May 3, 2024
Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 4, 20245 min read
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Week ended Feb 2, 2024: Earnings, Fed and US jobs
Last week dominated by five "Mag 7" companies that reported earnings (mixed bag), Fed and BoE monetary policy meetings, and economic data.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 3, 20246 min read
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Week ended Sept 1, 2023: Good enough
The perfect storm of economic news cheered bond and stock investors, with asset prices rising across the board in the US. RoW less clear.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2, 20234 min read
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US labour report stokes late-week rally (weekly update)
US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20233 min read
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