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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 153 min read
Week ended June 14, 2024: US inflation slows
US CPI surprised on the downside (lower than expected) this week, setting a constructive tone. The FOMC says one rate cut, Europe wobbles.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17 min read
Week ended March 1, 2024
More of the same, as risk-on sentiment pushes US equity markets to record highs. Bitcoin is soaring, too. Economic data remains supportive
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 175 min read
Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 134 min read
Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 4, 20236 min read
Week ended Nov 3, 2023: stocks and bonds rally hard
Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 12, 20235 min read
Week ended August 11, 2023: rather boring
Dullsville although markets did gyrate a bit, with equities and bonds lower, the USD, credit and oil better. US inflation bang on.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 1, 20236 min read
Week ended June 30, 2023: Equity markets on fire!
It was a scorching end to a fantastic first half of 2023, if you are long equities. Less so perhaps if you are long bonds. And Apple!!
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