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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 17, 20245 min read

Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets

US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 10, 20245 min read

Memes are dead I suppose, but not meme-like price performance. And yawn – the S&P 500 reaches ANOTHER record high while bonds get hammered.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 13, 20244 min read

Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 7, 20243 min read

Sloppy start to the new year in most traditional asset markets. Credit also weakened, and the USD strengthened. Off we go!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 9, 20236 min read

It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 25, 20235 min read

Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 18, 20238 min read

Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 4, 20236 min read

Stocks and bonds were on fire this week, a rare occurrence recently. "Bad news is good news" resonated as data showed a slowing US economy

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 14, 20233 min read

A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......

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