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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 175 min read
Week ended Feb 16th, 2024: economic data drives markets
US inflation for January was hot, pushing equities bond bonds lower. International equities performed better. UK and Japan in recession.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 20, 20235 min read
Guns or butter?
"Guns or butter" is a macroeconomic concept regarding govt budget allocation, but this article is about similar consumer decisions.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 22, 20234 min read
Week ended July 21, 2023: TSLA and NFLX drive sentiment
It's fair to say that disappointing results from Netflix and Tesla stopped the market in its tracks, although UK CPI was better.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 10, 20225 min read
WEEKLY: Big week ahead, CPI and central bank meetings
Mixed week, sentiment shifters driving momentum markets. US economy continuing to show resiliency, muting the Fed's fight against inflation
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 22, 20228 min read
BREXIT: it just won’t go away
The UK is continuing to experience a BREXIT hangover. The economy is in desperate need of help, but the Tories seem unable to move forward
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 202218 min read
Corporate bonds: why you should care about this market
This is a primer on corporate bonds, investment grade & high yield. It also discusses the pandemic and its effect on the corp bond market.
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