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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 7, 20247 min read
Week ended Dec 6, 2024: risk markets and USTs better, Bitcoin soars to record
Stocks reached more record highs in the US, but Asian and European stocks outperformed. UST yields slightly lower. Bitcoin soars to record
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20246 min read
Week ended Sept 6, 2024: sentiment deteriorates
US Labor Day holiday marked the unofficial end of summer, and also a demarcation for risk sentiment. Bonds rallied and stocks got hammered.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 2, 20238 min read
Week ended Dec 1, 2023: all systems go (for now)
There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 6, 20234 min read
OPEC+ is at it again
This past weekend, OPEC+ jumped back into action to address falling oil prices by curtailing supply. In fact, as we now have learned, it...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 8, 20234 min read
Week ended April 7, 2023
It was a holiday shortened week devoid of direction, with economic data providing a mixed picture. Oil, gold higher. Equities weaker.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 8, 20227 min read
Week ended Oct 7 2022
Markets were up on bad economic news, and then faltered on good economic news. The narrative of a Fed pivot won't go away.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 24, 20227 min read
Oil update: prices skyrocket
With oil approaching $100/bbl, it is hard to imagine that demand and supply were so out of line in April 2020 that oil prices went negative!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20214 min read
Week ended October 8, 2021: Debt ceiling crisis deferred (for now)
Weekly update, looking at the debt ceiling (can kicked down road), dismal Monday, mixed jobs report, UST (+UK/Eurozone govt bonds) hammered.
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