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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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tim@emorningcoffee.com
3 days ago6 min read
Week ended Feb 28, 2025: investors are "risk off"
Market volatility is increasing due to erratic US government policies. Bonds, gold, and foreign stocks are the place to hide.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 293 min read
DeepSeek, ASML earnings, Mag 7 earnings and FOMC decision
DeepSeek wrecks outlook for AI companies; Mag 7 companies MSFT, META, TSLA and AAPL report earnings; FOMC expected to hold rates
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20246 min read
Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 19, 20245 min read
Week ended October 18, 2024: more records
US stocks and gold hit more record highs. S&P 500 earnings mixed: banks strong, chip companies mixed, luxury struggles.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 1, 20246 min read
Week ended August 30, 2024
Earnings and economic data (especially inflation data) continued to improve risk sentiment. The yield curve inversion ended. Dollar better
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 22, 20246 min read
Week ended June 21, 2024
European and most US equity indices better, with UST yields widening across the curve. Focus in on elections in the UK and Europe.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20245 min read
Week ended May 24, 2024: NVDA rallies boosting US stocks
Both equity and bonds were a touch softer last week. Even stellar earnings by NVDA could not completely save the day, although amazing.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
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