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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 55 min read
Week ended October 4, 2024: soft landing in sight
Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 45 min read
Week ended May 3, 2024
Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 36 min read
Week ended Feb 2, 2024: Earnings, Fed and US jobs
Last week dominated by five "Mag 7" companies that reported earnings (mixed bag), Fed and BoE monetary policy meetings, and economic data.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 7, 20237 min read
Jobs reports: are US jobs trending in the right direction?
This article is about jobs, more specifically, what is the key data? And what does the most recent data suggest about the future?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2, 20234 min read
Week ended Sept 1, 2023: Good enough
The perfect storm of economic news cheered bond and stock investors, with asset prices rising across the board in the US. RoW less clear.
460
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 8, 20235 min read
Week ended July 7, 2022: US jobs solid, equities and bonds drift lower
US jobs data was sufficiently solid, largely as expected, that it wrecked the recent rally in stocks. UST yields were sent higher, too.
320
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 3, 20234 min read
Week ended June 2, 2023
Debt ceiling done as attention turns to the Fed's next move. US jobs data continues to suggest resiliency, and equities are liking it.
290
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 3, 20228 min read
Week ended April 1st 2022
Oil settles, inflation rages, Ukraine-Russia war drags on. The result? Equities rally, Treasuries get hammered. The yield curve inverts.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 30, 202111 min read
Infrastructure and the American Jobs Plan
The American Jobs Plan proposed by the Biden Administration is an effort to remedy the significant underinvestment in US infrastructure.
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