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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read
Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 18, 20238 min read
Week ended Nov 17, 2023: stocks and bonds rally
Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read
Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 14, 20233 min read
Week ended October 13, 2023: reality of war sets in
A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 16, 20234 min read
Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 2, 20234 min read
Week ended Sept 1, 2023: Good enough
The perfect storm of economic news cheered bond and stock investors, with asset prices rising across the board in the US. RoW less clear.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 22, 20234 min read
Week ended July 21, 2023: TSLA and NFLX drive sentiment
It's fair to say that disappointing results from Netflix and Tesla stopped the market in its tracks, although UK CPI was better.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 8, 20235 min read
Week ended July 7, 2022: US jobs solid, equities and bonds drift lower
US jobs data was sufficiently solid, largely as expected, that it wrecked the recent rally in stocks. UST yields were sent higher, too.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 24, 20235 min read
Week ended June 23, 2023: BoE jumbo rate increase
Central banks, one after another, are raising rates to try to tame persistent inflation, but it's not working fast enough. Equities tanked.
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