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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 20, 20244 min read
Week ended Jan 19, 2024: S&P 500 closes at record high
The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read
Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 2, 20238 min read
Week ended Dec 1, 2023: all systems go (for now)
There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 25, 20235 min read
Week ended Nov 24, 2023: equities grind higher
Although the advance in equities slowed, it certainly did not stop even as yields pushed higher off of better-than-expected PMI data.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 18, 20238 min read
Week ended Nov 17, 2023: stocks and bonds rally
Stocks and bonds rallied hard this week, with stocks first getting a boost from better-than-expected earnings, and then by disinflation data
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read
Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 14, 20233 min read
Week ended October 13, 2023: reality of war sets in
A deferred reaction to war in the Middle East meant that equities rallied and bonds sold off in the first half of the week, but then......
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 16, 20234 min read
Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.
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