tim@emorningcoffee.comNov 99 min readWeek ended Nov 8, 2024: Markets adapt to president-elect TrumpLast week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.
tim@emorningcoffee.comNov 34 min readThe US election: things you should knowHere are a few last-minute thoughts on the US election which will be held on Tuesday, Nov 5. A lot is at stake, but Weds, the world goes on
tim@emorningcoffee.comDec 7, 20238 min readSpending your retirement savingsI wrote about portfolio allocation pre-retirement a few weeks ago. This article is about “sizing” your drawdowns after you retire.
tim@emorningcoffee.comSep 20, 20235 min readGuns or butter?"Guns or butter" is a macroeconomic concept regarding govt budget allocation, but this article is about similar consumer decisions.
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 30, 20233 min readBIPs, RIPs and CHIPsGet ready for the next FOMC meeting and a market rip following the debt ceiling agreement. Want to better understand semiconductors?
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 2, 20236 min readDecisions, decisions, decisions: inflation and consumer preferencesHeadline inflation might be on the way down, but it is declining very slowly in the US and the EU, and remains in double-digits in the...
tim@emorningcoffee.comFeb 14, 20237 min readStocks - do they always go up?Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself
tim@emorningcoffee.comMay 10, 202214 min readThe Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt
tim@emorningcoffee.comOct 8, 20214 min readAbout that transitory inflation........I continue to believe that inflation will be transitory, but supply-push inflation will cause inflation to be higher longer.