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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 10, 20225 min read
WEEKLY: Big week ahead, CPI and central bank meetings
Mixed week, sentiment shifters driving momentum markets. US economy continuing to show resiliency, muting the Fed's fight against inflation
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 26, 20224 min read
WEEKLY: Risk markets grind higher
Stocks and bonds are much better on the week, continuing a nice run in the 4Q22. The rally is broadening and orderly. Too much, too fast?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 19, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Fed “talking heads” pour cold water on rally
The week could have been worse thanks to the talking heads from the Fed, but Friday saved the day. Yield curve steepens, oil prices plummet
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: US CPI and midterms push markets higher
FTX goes bust, US CPI suggests possible Fed pivot, and US midterms lead to the end of Dem progressive legislation. Equities & bonds rally.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 5, 20227 min read
WEEKLY: Fed, BoE raise rates; US equities / bonds take it on the chin
US equities and bonds get crushed, other global equity markets improve. USTs weaker, gold rallies, oil up and USD lower. Fed, BoE raise.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 29, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Markets improve as FAMAG companies flounder
This week was mainly about earnings, including banks, FAMAG companies and oil giants. ECB and BoJ behaved as expected. US 3Q22 GDP beats.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 22, 20226 min read
Week ended Oct 21, 2022
Headlines says it all. More turmoil in U.K. politics (and 10.1% CPI). Decent S&P 500 earnings, TSLA and SNAP disappoint. Yen softens.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 15, 20226 min read
Week ended Oct 14, 2022
The Truss government takes a U-Turn and throws Kwarteng under the bus, and US equities experience unusual volatility following hot CPI.
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