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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 24, 20235 min read
Week ended June 23, 2023: BoE jumbo rate increase
Central banks, one after another, are raising rates to try to tame persistent inflation, but it's not working fast enough. Equities tanked.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 6, 20235 min read
Week ended May 5, 2023: Now what?
Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 8, 20234 min read
Week ended April 7, 2023
It was a holiday shortened week devoid of direction, with economic data providing a mixed picture. Oil, gold higher. Equities weaker.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 25, 20235 min read
Week ended March 24, 2023
Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 21, 20235 min read
WEEKLY: News mixed, markets skid sideways
Markets largely slid sideways this week. Large tech companies continue layoffs. Economic data suggests peak inflation has been reached.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20233 min read
US labour report stokes late-week rally (weekly update)
US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.
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