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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
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WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20226 min read
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WEEKLY: US CPI and midterms push markets higher
FTX goes bust, US CPI suggests possible Fed pivot, and US midterms lead to the end of Dem progressive legislation. Equities & bonds rally.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20226 min read
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WEEKLY: Fed, BoE raise rates; US equities / bonds take it on the chin
US equities and bonds get crushed, other global equity markets improve. USTs weaker, gold rallies, oil up and USD lower. Fed, BoE raise.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 5, 20227 min read
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Week Ended Sept 30th, 2022
The week, month and quarter was simply a disaster for both equity and bond investors globally, there was simply nowhere to hide except cash.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 1, 20226 min read
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Week ended Sept 23rd 2022
It was a horrific week brought on by central banks doing exactly what they said they were going to do. Reality is setting in and its painful
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 24, 20227 min read
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Week ended Sept 9, 2022
The Labor Day holiday in the US on Monday and the Queen's death on Thursday framed the week, with risk assets rallying strongly on Friday.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 10, 20227 min read
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