tim@emorningcoffee.com
Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.
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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 174 min read
Week ended Aug 16, 2024: "everything up" week!
It was an "everything up" week, with global equities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds and gold all registering gains. Happy summer!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 30, 20233 min read
Week ended Dec 29, 2023: end of year (short) edition
We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 15, 20233 min read
Week ended July 14, 2023: Investors party!
Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 6, 20235 min read
Week ended May 5, 2023: Now what?
Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 25, 20235 min read
Week ended March 24, 2023
Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
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