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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 30, 20233 min read
Musings to start the week
As we kick off the week with what looks like will be a weak opening in US stock and bond markets following weakness in Asian and European...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 21, 20235 min read
WEEKLY: News mixed, markets skid sideways
Markets largely slid sideways this week. Large tech companies continue layoffs. Economic data suggests peak inflation has been reached.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 7, 20233 min read
US labour report stokes late-week rally (weekly update)
US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 18, 20226 min read
WEEKLY: Actions speak louder than words
The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 10, 20225 min read
WEEKLY: Big week ahead, CPI and central bank meetings
Mixed week, sentiment shifters driving momentum markets. US economy continuing to show resiliency, muting the Fed's fight against inflation
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