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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 25, 20235 min read
Week ended March 24, 2023
Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 19, 20236 min read
Musings to start the week (and it's all about banks)
UBS was seemingly strong-armed into a stock-for-stock acquisition of CS, ending that saga. What does this mean for global banking system?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 18, 20235 min read
Week ended March 17, 2023
Bank concerns continue even as solutions were put forth for First Republic and CS. NASDAQ and Bitcoin rally, other markets signal risk off
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 15, 20237 min read
Moral hazard following SIVB
The Fed, Treasury and FIDC took two steps last Sunday to address the SIVB situation. Are these effectively a form or moral hazard?
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.
410
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 4, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Much ado about nothing
Earnings season ended and data was sparse. Equities rallied, gaining in the US for the first time in 4 weeks. Bond yields rose.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 18, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: US economy running hot
The combination of the Fed's ongoing rhetoric and strong economic data finally hits home, as US stocks falter, following the UST market.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 11, 20234 min read
WEEKLY: Fed walks back risk markets
Fed-speak undid the bond market as yields rose 20bps across the curve. NASDAQ paid the price. Oil sharply high, USD stable. FTSE 100 up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 5, 20234 min read
Week ended Feb 3rd, 2023
Until the end of the week, the data and earnings were saying one thing and investors were hearing another. Markets decent though till Fri.
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