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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
5 days ago5 min read
Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 99 min read
Week ended Nov 8, 2024: Markets adapt to president-elect Trump
Last week was mainly about the US election, which D Trump and the Republicans won in a landslide. The "Trump trade" was full on.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 217 min read
Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%
180
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?
2020
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 23, 20226 min read
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet
The Federal Reserve is in the early stages of reducing its balance sheet, or quantitative tightening ("QT").
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20229 min read
FOREX
FOREX is in the news, especially as many think the USD has reached its peak and is at an inflection point. What drives FOREX? Read on.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 10, 202214 min read
The Federal Reserve and the Decade of 2010-2020
The decade 2010-20 involved a very hands-on approach by the Fed to steer the US economy out of a deep recession. What lessons can be learnt
2050
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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