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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 216 min read
Week ended Feb 21, 2025: stocks slip and bonds improve
For investors, it is not easy staying focused these days on the substantive economic and business data that matter for your portfolio....
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 15 min read
Week ended Jan 31, 2025: earnings and central bank decisions dominate
The week started and ended poorly for US stocks, delivering losses for the week. European stocks have been the best performers YtD.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 14, 20246 min read
Week ended Dec 13, 2024: markets slightly weaker
Bond yields ticked up after an in-line Nov CPI report, reminding investors the inflation battle is not over. Stocks were weaker.,
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20246 min read
Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 26, 20245 min read
Week ended Oct 25, 2024: yields push higher
Both equity and bond markets lost ground last week, although Chinese stocks were positive as well the NASDAQ following TSLA earnings.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 21, 20247 min read
Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20214 min read
FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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