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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 146 min read
Week ended Dec 13, 2024: markets slightly weaker
Bond yields ticked up after an in-line Nov CPI report, reminding investors the inflation battle is not over. Stocks were weaker.,
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 236 min read
Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 265 min read
Week ended Oct 25, 2024: yields push higher
Both equity and bond markets lost ground last week, although Chinese stocks were positive as well the NASDAQ following TSLA earnings.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 217 min read
Week ended Sept 20, 2024: central bank decisions feature
Last week was mainly about a trifecta of central bank decisions, with most attention focused on the Fed. The Fed Funds rate was reduced .50%
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 146 min read
Week ended Sept 13, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
It was one of those weeks that if you didn't chalk up portfolio gains, it would be difficult to figure out why. Bonds and stocks rallied.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 243 min read
Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20214 min read
FOMO, TINA, YOLO and the Fed
Don't look to fundamentals to explain equity prices today – look to attitudes embedded in acronyms. And don't forget the super-easy Fed!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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