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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Apr 13, 20244 min read

Week ended April 12, 2024: "hot" US CPI data wrecks markets

US CPI data released Weds morning was the culprit, wrecking sentiment in equities and sending yields soaring. Gold and the Dollar stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 8, 20247 min read

Equities were mixed, UST yields were tighter across the curve. Politics garnered most attention this week, plus an ECB decision.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 27, 20243 min read

Lots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 30, 20233 min read

We ended the year very much along the themes that drove 4Q23. Equities and government bonds were better bid across the board. 2024??

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 16, 20237 min read

The Fed breaks ranks for some reason and suggests a nearer-than-expected pivot which sent stocks and bonds soaring.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 9, 20236 min read

It was a week of mixed economic news in the US, with a strong labor market clobbering the short end of the UST curve. Equities didn't care.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 2, 20238 min read

There was enough sad news this week, but it certainly didn’t make a dent in sentiment as stocks and bonds continue to rally hard.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 16, 20234 min read

The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 10, 20234 min read

Stocks and bonds sagged again this week, as overall sentiment remains fragile. Apple and corporate bond supply might have been culprits too

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