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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
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Week ended August 23, 2024: Fed "pencils in" first rate reduction
A confluence of economic data, punctuated by a speech by Fed Chair Powell on Friday in Jackson Hole, suggests rate cuts are coming soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 24, 20243 min read
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Week ended May 3, 2024
Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 4, 20245 min read
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Week ended April 12, 2024: "hot" US CPI data wrecks markets
US CPI data released Weds morning was the culprit, wrecking sentiment in equities and sending yields soaring. Gold and the Dollar stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended March 15, 2024: most assets falter
Hotter-than-expected US inflation data clobbered the bond market, and after digestion, also rattled US equities. Credit was better (again).

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 15, 20245 min read
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Week ended August 11, 2023: rather boring
Dullsville although markets did gyrate a bit, with equities and bonds lower, the USD, credit and oil better. US inflation bang on.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 12, 20235 min read
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Week ended Aug 4, 2023: It's August!
[GO STRAIGHT TO THE TABLES] We’re now into August, a normally lower-volume month, and often not the best month for equities. The table...

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 6, 20234 min read
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Wrong (so far)....but the Street has been, too
Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 2, 20234 min read
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Week Ended April 30 and the Week Ahead
This week was mainly about earnings as 180 of the S&P 500 companies reported their quarterly results. In summary, earnings were solid.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 1, 20214 min read
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