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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise

Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 8, 20246 min read

Sloppy start to the new year in most traditional asset markets. Credit also weakened, and the USD strengthened. Off we go!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 7, 20243 min read

Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 21, 20235 min read

Seven months into the year, many of my Y/E forecasts for indices and other assets look like they will be wrong. I am in good company!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Aug 2, 20234 min read

Stock and bond investors party hard, with equities ripping and US Treasury yields dropping sharply. A benign June CPI report was key driver

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jul 15, 20233 min read

Risk markets ended a solid first quarter, as stocks and bonds rallied. The wind feels as if it is at our back as risk assets power forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Apr 1, 20235 min read

Bank concerns continue even as solutions were put forth for First Republic and CS. NASDAQ and Bitcoin rally, other markets signal risk off

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 18, 20235 min read

The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 5, 20233 min read

What a week this was! Equities were all over the place rattled by the Fed's Q&A (post-FOMC mins), and buffeted by earnings from MSFT & AAPL

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 29, 20228 min read

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