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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 69 min read

Balance of payments, trade and tariffs

The week started with the Trump Administration announcing tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, the first two of which were quickly rescinded

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 19, 20245 min read

US stocks and gold hit more record highs. S&P 500 earnings mixed: banks strong, chip companies mixed, luxury struggles.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 12, 20245 min read

CPI slightly hotter than expected, and earnings off to a good start. Yields continue to back up, US stocks at record high close.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 5, 20245 min read

Risk remains asymmetrical to the downside, but a robust US jobs report cheered risk investors on Friday and sent UST yields sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 28, 20245 min read

Chinese stimulus measures buoyed stocks globally, and US Treasuries were stable. Gold paused and oil fell. The Dollar was weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 27, 20243 min read

Lots of US economic data last week that pushed the S&P 500 to another record level. UST yields flattish. Chinese equities better. Read on

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 20, 20244 min read

The S&P 500 closed at a record high. European and EM stocks slumped. USTs also got hammered. Davos and economic data drove sentiment.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 2, 202431 min read

2023 was an amazing year for nearly all traditional asset classes around the world. Can this carry-on? This article covers my thoughts.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jun 7, 20228 min read

2022 has been an abysmal year for most indices and asset classes globally, with the exceptions being oil, gold and the FTSE 100. Now what?

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