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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Week ended January 12, 2024: focus on Bitcoin ETFs
Last week was about US inflation data and the approval of Bitcoin ETFs. CPI was slightly hot, and PPI was weak, sending yields lower.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 13, 20244 min read
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Week ended October 20, 2023: yields spike
Yields spiked this week, one of several factors leading to a decisive risk-off feeling as equities tanked and gold roared forward.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 21, 20235 min read
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Week ended August 18, 2023: China and USTs steal thunder
This week was quiet although the slow drift lower for equities and bonds continued. China's economy and higher UST yields were the focus.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 20, 20235 min read
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WEEKLY: Regulatory takeover of SIVB steals the show
In a week full of economic data and news, the take-over of Silicon Valley Bank by the FDIC spurred a risk-off attitude, with USTs gaining.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 11, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Risk assets head to the moon!
We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 28, 20234 min read
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WEEKLY: Goldilocks CPI report spurs risk rally
A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 14, 20236 min read
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WEEKLY: US CPI and midterms push markets higher
FTX goes bust, US CPI suggests possible Fed pivot, and US midterms lead to the end of Dem progressive legislation. Equities & bonds rally.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20226 min read
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WEEKLY: Fed, BoE raise rates; US equities / bonds take it on the chin
US equities and bonds get crushed, other global equity markets improve. USTs weaker, gold rallies, oil up and USD lower. Fed, BoE raise.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 5, 20227 min read
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Week ended August 19th 2022
Friday was a down day in US equities and bonds. Was it an anomaly or is reality setting back in? 2y Gilt yields also were sharply higher.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 20, 20225 min read
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