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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

May 6, 20235 min read

Week ended May 5, 2023: Now what?

Mixed data week but generally suggesting resilient US jobs market. Fed and ECB hike, Apple delivers the goods. Equities slightly weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Apr 8, 20234 min read

It was a holiday shortened week devoid of direction, with economic data providing a mixed picture. Oil, gold higher. Equities weaker.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 25, 20235 min read

Concerns about banking arguably subsided as the week wore on, with Fed and BoE rate decisions taking centre stage. Risk assets better bid.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 4, 20234 min read

Earnings season ended and data was sparse. Equities rallied, gaining in the US for the first time in 4 weeks. Bond yields rose.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 28, 20234 min read

We are going "to the moon" across risk assets of all types. Can this continue? I'm not convinced but it's been a great start to 2023!

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 21, 20235 min read

Markets largely slid sideways this week. Large tech companies continue layoffs. Economic data suggests peak inflation has been reached.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 14, 20236 min read

A goldilocks CPI report for Dec cheered markets on Thurs. spurring further risk-on. Bank earnings had warnings on Friday that were ignored.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Jan 7, 20233 min read

US markets started the year poorly, but a balanced NFP report for Dec, released Friday, cheered investors. European equities even stronger.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 18, 20226 min read

The Fed, ECB and BoE all did exactly as predicted, but comments following press releases were decidedly hawkish. Markets puked on this.

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