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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

Week ended March 21, 2025: US stocks eke out gains

Most focus this week was on the FOMC decision, which was initially viewed as slightly dovish before reality sat in. Markets were mixed.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 225 min read

Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Feb 85 min read

Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 21, 20245 min read

Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Nov 23, 20246 min read

It was one of those weeks that if you didn't chalk up portfolio gains, it would be difficult to figure out why. Bonds and stocks rallied.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 14, 20246 min read

Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Dec 23, 20235 min read

The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Sep 16, 20234 min read

It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Mar 17, 20228 min read

The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?

tim@emorningcoffee.com

Oct 20, 20215 min read

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