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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 85 min read
Week ended Feb 7, 2025: markets react to tariff threats, earnings and jobs
Last week was the second week running that the start of the week was characterised by turmoil, this time caused by tariff threats. Mr...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 21, 20245 min read
Week ended Dec 20, 2024: FOMC projections send markets lower
Confident that another stellar year for U.S. stocks was coming to a close, investors were jolted from their complacency when the Federal...
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 23, 20246 min read
Week ended Nov 22, 2024: NVDA earnings, US retailers
Equities were better in the US and Europe. UST yields were marginally changed. Gold and Bitcoin soared to record highs. The Dollar was up
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 14, 20246 min read
Week ended Sept 13, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
It was one of those weeks that if you didn't chalk up portfolio gains, it would be difficult to figure out why. Bonds and stocks rallied.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 23, 20235 min read
Week ended Dec 22, 2023: Mixed data, markets continue rally
Economic data remains mixed, but it is clear inflation is slowing in the US and Europe. Investors are all-in on a faster pivot, markets up.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 16, 20234 min read
Week ended Sept 15, 2023: ARM IPO, ECB rate hike, US inflation
The ARM IPO (fair price), the ECB rate decision ("dovish increase") and US CPI are were relatively neutral to supportive this week.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 1, 20236 min read
Week ended June 30, 2023: Equity markets on fire!
It was a scorching end to a fantastic first half of 2023, if you are long equities. Less so perhaps if you are long bonds. And Apple!!
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 17, 20228 min read
Will the US dollar remain the global reserve currency?
It is fashionable to espouse the end of the US dollar as the leading global reserve currency, but this will not occur anytime soon.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 20, 20215 min read
Is the bond market doing the Fed's dirty work?
The bond market looks to be doing the Fed's dirty work, sending short term yields to post-pandemic highs. Is the Fed being too methodical?
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