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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 10, 20245 min read
Week ended August 9, 2024: back where we started
It was a highly volatile week in bond and risk markets, which makes it hard to believe that we ended the week about where we started.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Aug 3, 202411 min read
Week ended Aug 2, 2024 (and emails during week to subs)
Last week was brilliant for UST investors in duration, and horrible for investors in global equities. Culprits: Mag & and US economic data.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 27, 20245 min read
Week ended July 26, 2024: mixed week, earnings and data
Markets mixed, with FTSE 100 leading the charge and Nikkei 225 getting hammered. Tech bellwethers set tone, economic data mixed.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 20, 20244 min read
Week ended July 19, 2024: stocks and bonds sell off
Markets were jittery much of the week, with the rotation out of tech continuing in the US. US Treasuries were also under pressure.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 13, 20246 min read
Week ended July 12, 2024: stocks and bonds rip
Stocks rip and bonds rip. Small cap stocks did the best in the States while tech floundered. US CPI cooler than expected. UK growth better
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 6, 20245 min read
Week ended July 5, 2024: UK election and US jobs report
Labour wins overwhelming majority in UK Parliamentary election. US jobs report favourable for inflation. French election ahead.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 30, 20245 min read
Week ended June 28, 2024: Geopolitics dominate, markets lacklustre
The news narrative was dominated by elections in the UK and France, and the first Biden-Trump debate. Markets were lacklustre to close 1H24
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 22, 20246 min read
Week ended June 21, 2024
European and most US equity indices better, with UST yields widening across the curve. Focus in on elections in the UK and Europe.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 15, 20243 min read
Week ended June 14, 2024: US inflation slows
US CPI surprised on the downside (lower than expected) this week, setting a constructive tone. The FOMC says one rate cut, Europe wobbles.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 8, 20246 min read
Week ended June 7, 2024: US jobs surprise
Stocks and bonds were better on the week in spite of a strong May jobs report released Friday morning. Gold and oil weaker, USD stronger.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 1, 20245 min read
Week ended May 31, 2024: Trump convicted, markets don't care
Former President Trump gets nailed for 34 felony accounts, but this rallies his supporters. Markets didn't care, ending positively for May.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 25, 20245 min read
Week ended May 24, 2024: NVDA rallies boosting US stocks
Both equity and bonds were a touch softer last week. Even stellar earnings by NVDA could not completely save the day, although amazing.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 18, 20246 min read
Week ended May 17, 2024: it was an "everything up" week
The week started with a short-lived meme frenzy, which fade quickly. Slightly weaker US data then took centre stage.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 12, 20244 min read
Week ended May 10, 2024: equities rise further
Equities better bid in a holiday-shortened week, one void of meaningful economic data and the last serious tranche of earnings.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 4, 20245 min read
Week ended May 3, 2024
Earnings and economic data were all relatively to the liking of equity and bond investors alike, providing a boost for assets last week.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 27, 20248 min read
Week ended April 26, 2024: Earnings feature
Risk markets bounced back this week, although yields on Treasuries moved higher. GOOG, META, MSFT and TSLA released earnings.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 20, 20248 min read
Week ended April 19, 2024: not a good week!
It was another challenging week for both stocks and bonds, with the sell-off in equities gaining steam as tech stocks flounder.
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tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 13, 20244 min read
Week ended April 12, 2024: "hot" US CPI data wrecks markets
US CPI data released Weds morning was the culprit, wrecking sentiment in equities and sending yields soaring. Gold and the Dollar stronger.
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