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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Decisions, decisions, decisions: inflation and consumer preferences
Headline inflation might be on the way down, but it is declining very slowly in the US and the EU, and remains in double-digits in the...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 2, 20236 min read
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FINANCE 101: Savings and the time value of money
This is the first of FINANCE 101 topics, a series of articles re the basics of personal investing and financial management.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 28, 20236 min read
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The US debt ceiling debacle
The debt ceiling is front & centre as the date the US Treasury runs out of cash is drawing dangerously near. Here's my two cents, enjoy!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 24, 20237 min read
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S&P 500 1Q2023: Tech stars dominate (again)
Tech companies drove the 7% return of the S&P 500 in the 1Q23. Without the "magnificent seven", the index would have been flattish.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 5, 20234 min read
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The end of Silicon Valley Bank
Silicon Valley Bank went from fine to dead in less than 48 hours. Why and how? Could it have been prevented? What now?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 13, 202312 min read
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Stock repurchases (thanks Mr Buffet)
In his Letter to Shareholders, Mr Buffet raised the issue of the 1% excise tax on stock repurchases, a bad idea. I think he is right!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20236 min read
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The Great Reveal
Since I write a lot about markets and macroeconomic topics, it is only fair that I talk about my own investment portfolio.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 23, 20237 min read
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Stocks - do they always go up?
Stocks do not always go up over shorter periods, but they do over longer periods. This article provides empirical support, see for yourself
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20237 min read
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Earnings (so far): good or bad?
Earnings for S&P 500 companies have been "better-than-expected" so far. Does this tell the whole story? Stocks are ripping anyway!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 8, 20235 min read
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Economic outlook vs stock prices
Economic data is mixed. Cautious corporate and cautious bank outlooks are causing anxiety, but are not keeping stock markets from rallying
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 27, 20234 min read
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FAMAG (+TSLA) quarterly earnings: everything you need to know
The five mega-tech FAMAG names start reporting their quarterly earnings ended Dec 30th, 2022, this week. I also included TSLA.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 23, 20232 min read
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My 2023 year-end guesses
The Street pros provide year-end 2023 projections for stocks and bonds, so why not EMC? Here are my guesstimates and rationales.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 5, 20233 min read
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WEEKLY: Damn glad that's over!
It was a holiday shortened, rather lacklustre week in markets. Good that 2022 is over. FY returns were poor across equities and bonds.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20223 min read
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Predicting stock prices: 2023
The consensus view is that stocks will rise modestly in 2023. History has proven one thing – analysts will be wrong!
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 22, 202210 min read
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The Fed, Bank of England and ECB: monetary policy decisions
This week we have monetary policy decisions from the Fed, the Bank of England and the ECB, the last of the year. This provides context.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 12, 20222 min read
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Windfall taxes are a stupid idea
Windfall taxes are economically stupid, which might be why politicians seem to like the idea so much. Banks and energy companies are at risk
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 8, 20227 min read
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Fine wine – an alternative asset for all seasons
As traditional asset classes get ever-more turbulent, alternative assets become ever-more attractive. This article is about fine wine.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 4, 20225 min read
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Tesla: as resilient as ever
Love it or hate it, the fact is that Tesla's stock performance has left nearly all peers – tech and automotive – in the dust. Now what?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 22, 20226 min read
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