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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.
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Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20245 min read
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The US election aftermath: the morning after
This article is short and covers the blowout results and reasons, what Trump 2.0 means for investors, and Mr Trump's promises.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 7, 20243 min read
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The US election: things you should know
Here are a few last-minute thoughts on the US election which will be held on Tuesday, Nov 5. A lot is at stake, but Weds, the world goes on
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 3, 20244 min read
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Portfolio update: 3Q2024
This is the update of my personal portfolio for the most recent quarter ended September 30, 2024.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Oct 9, 20249 min read
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Three key election issues: immigration, inflation and abortion
There are many important issues in the US Presidential election, but none more so perhaps than immigration, inflation, and abortion.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Sep 25, 202410 min read
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Portfolio update: 1H2024
This is an update of my personal portfolio performance in 2Q2024 and 1H2024, good on the surface but worse than the indices would suggest.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jul 24, 20248 min read
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US deficits / debt soar; should you care?
US deficits are soaring, along with US debt to finance the "exceptional growth" of the US. Can this continue?
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 25, 20246 min read
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Midweek update: Apple, CPI/FOMC, GME
We have some US data coming that might matter today (CPI), but the FOMC will sit tight (also today). Discusses Apple's run and GameStop.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 12, 20247 min read
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Is fine wine a good investment?
The 2024 en primeur campaign for Bordeaux is just starting. But is fine wine really a good investment? I don't think so anymore.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
May 2, 202414 min read
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Portfolio update: 1Q2024
This is an update about my personal portfolio during and at the end of 1Q2024. It also discusses performance which I consider disappointing.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 10, 20248 min read
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Anti-obesity medications: part 3, valuations of LLY and NVO
This is the 3rd and final article focused on anti-obesity drugs. It looks at valuations of shares of the two giants in this biz, LLY & NVO.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 18, 20248 min read
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Anti-obesity medications part 2: the duopoly of Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk
Eli Lilly (LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NVO) have been large players for decades in the market for diabetes medications and are currently...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 14, 20247 min read
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Anti-obesity medications part 1: the market for anti-obesity drugs
This article is being published in instalments, of which this is the first, for context. INTRODUCTION Two macrotrends have been drivers...
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 12, 20247 min read
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Revisiting gold as an asset class
This is a guest post about gold, penned by online investment firm BullionVault. Gold has just pierced $2,100/oz, reaching a record high.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 5, 20244 min read
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Berkshire Hathaway: 2023 results and the path forward
Berkshire Hathaway released its FY earnings on Sat. As always, there are plenty of juicy nuggets to digest.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 27, 20249 min read
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Revisiting semi-conductors
This article takes a quick look at the semi-conductor value-chain, including chip designers, fabricators and chip machinery makers.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 20, 20245 min read
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Enhancing shareholder value
Looks at ways companies can maximise shareholder value (aside from uttering the words “AI”) including dividends, stock buybacks & layoffs
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 14, 20247 min read
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Portfolio update Dec 31, 2023 (4Q23 and FY 2023)
This article provides a 4Q23 update on my personal portfolio. I was conservatively positioned going into an unexpectedly strong quarter.
tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 25, 20246 min read
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