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My view on what's going on in the financial markets and the global economy, and a few other things that might interest me from time to time.

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Mag 7 stocks, earnings, "hands off" the Fed and Jeffrey Sachs at ADF
Quick look to start the week with earnings, including TSLA and GOOG, Jeffrey Sachs explaining poor Trump policies and the Fed's independence

tim@emorningcoffee.com
3 days ago4 min read
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Musings to start the week
Down we go in a self-inflicted mess caused by Mr Trump's errant tariff policy. I talk about trade and budget deficits, and the week ahead.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Apr 75 min read
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Balance of payments, trade and tariffs
The week started with the Trump Administration announcing tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, the first two of which were quickly rescinded

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Feb 69 min read
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DeepSeek, ASML earnings, Mag 7 earnings and FOMC decision
DeepSeek wrecks outlook for AI companies; Mag 7 companies MSFT, META, TSLA and AAPL report earnings; FOMC expected to hold rates

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 293 min read
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Summary of 2024 in tables
This article contains a summary of full-year 2024 performance of the indices and assets tracked by EMC, plus historical data, too.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jan 31 min read
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2024 market and asset performance vs my expectations: how'd I do?
I "guessed" at how markets would perform in 2024 last year at this time. Some I got right, some I got wrong, not different from the pros.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Dec 31, 20248 min read
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Does the "Trump rally" have legs?
Some stocks that clearly "track" President-elect Trump's varied campaign promises have rallied hard, including TSLA, BTC, COIN and KRE.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Nov 12, 20245 min read
24
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Midweek update: Apple, CPI/FOMC, GME
We have some US data coming that might matter today (CPI), but the FOMC will sit tight (also today). Discusses Apple's run and GameStop.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Jun 12, 20247 min read
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Revisiting gold as an asset class
This is a guest post about gold, penned by online investment firm BullionVault. Gold has just pierced $2,100/oz, reaching a record high.

tim@emorningcoffee.com
Mar 5, 20244 min read
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